Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000694 0.000795 0.000901 0.001022 0.001156 0.001298 0.001461
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000539 0.000679 0.000837 0.001029 0.001254 0.001507 0.001812
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000442 0.000594 0.000775 0.001004 0.001284 0.001610 0.002016
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000365 0.000522 0.000717 0.000975 0.001299 0.001690 0.002190
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000316 0.000478 0.000687 0.000972 0.001341 0.001798 0.002395
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000278 0.000441 0.000662 0.000970 0.001382 0.001901 0.002594
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000242 0.000404 0.000631 0.000958 0.001405 0.001980 0.002763
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000209 0.000368 0.000598 0.000939 0.001415 0.002041 0.002908
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000193 0.000355 0.000595 0.000959 0.001479 0.002173 0.003146
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000340 0.000589 0.000975 0.001536 0.002296 0.003376
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000314 0.000562 0.000958 0.001545 0.002354 0.003518
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000288 0.000535 0.000939 0.001548 0.002401 0.003645
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000273 0.000523 0.000942 0.001585 0.002498 0.003846
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000261 0.000516 0.000952 0.001633 0.002611 0.004071
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000238 0.000489 0.000928 0.001627 0.002647 0.004187
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000216 0.000461 0.000900 0.001613 0.002670 0.004285
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000204 0.000449 0.000897 0.001638 0.002749 0.004465
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000193 0.000438 0.000896 0.001665 0.002831 0.004649
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000179 0.000422 0.000884 0.001673 0.002886 0.004794
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000165 0.000402 0.000866 0.001670 0.002922 0.004912
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000162 0.000404 0.000885 0.001730 0.003054 0.005175
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000158 0.000404 0.000900 0.001782 0.003178 0.005426
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000146 0.000387 0.000885 0.001782 0.003218 0.005553